Mr. Chairman, again, as you know, there are a lot of things that can happen, including more one-time money, changes in population and so on. If everything stayed just the way it is today, our population did not grow, we did not get any more corporate taxes, one-time or ongoing from the mines, the economy in Canada continued to decline as projected by the Conference Board, then it would be some time. By my projections, probably some time in the 2004-2005 fiscal year that we would be in very much of a cash crunch where we would not have enough money without increasing our borrowing. That is if everything stayed the same.
That actually, Mr. Chairman, puts us in a better position than we were when we came into this government. When we came into government, we were within months of having to either increase the borrowing limit or essentially be bankrupt. When I look over the next couple of years, in April 2004, we would be getting close. We would be within $50 million to $60 million of that limit. Then, of course, it would depend on spending patterns during the year 2004-2005 as to what would happen.
If we look at 2002-2003, we are still looking at about a $30 million surplus that year. That is a cash surplus. Then, of course, because our spending is exceeding our revenues, we are losing quickly.
I am optimistic though, and again I am probably more optimistic than my department is, but I am optimistic that we are going to see substantially increased corporate taxes paid, certainly by Ekati Mine and then probably by 2004-2005-2006 by Diavik Mine. We are going to see a population growth. I do not think it is as dismal as it sounds. I think, and I am an optimist, but I think sometime during the year 2004 is the worst possible situation. That is my reason for saying we do not want to change the strategy yet. I think we still have a few years to continue to make strategic investments. If things are not turning around within another year, year and a half, we would have to seriously look at the strategy and whether or not it is affordable.