Thank you, Mr. Speaker. Rather than speaking with a lot of descriptive rhetoric, let me cut right to the chase. For those of us who were new to the Legislative Assembly last fall, we had a big learning curve to go through. We had to become familiar with our roles as MLAs, while at the same time absorb -- or swallow -- thick books of financial and other data in a short space of time. We quickly realized that the government faced a tangled economic problem that needed to be unravelled. We agreed to the establishment of three standing committees in the envelope areas of infrastructure, social programs and resource management to address our concerns.
This new committee structure permitted all ordinary Members to selectively participate in the review of departmental business plans. So six months after our first meeting, we are now considering Mr. Todd's first budget. Mr. Todd tells us that he projects the deficit this year to be $150 million if spending cuts are not introduced. He has explained that this projected deficit has come about because federal government transfers of $90 million. The remainder of the deficit is caused because of overexpenditures by this government; $37 million alone in the forced growth areas of the social envelope departments of Health, Social Services and Education.
It is important to note that Mr. Todd will not balance the budget this year. Mr. Todd has stated that the budget he has laid before us for the 1996-97 fiscal year will result in a $43 million deficit. So on April 1st next year, we will have increased our accumulated debt to $86 million. For me, Mr. Todd has not made eliminating the deficit a firm enough target; not this year and not in the next three years. The truth is, we will be going into the two new territories with an accumulated debt of at least $86 million if we follow Mr. Todd's plan. In my opinion, only a balanced budget this year would set the stage for the annual surpluses in the coming years that would allow the government to address an enduring problem.
The NWT Chamber of Commerce is also of this opinion. The chamber has sent a letter to Premier Morin with copies to all MLAs, stating that in dealing with the government's current financial situation, it is the considered opinion of the board of directors of the NWT Chamber of Commerce that every effort should be made to present a balanced budget for 1996/97. In other words, get rid of the projected 1996-97 deficit of $150 million completely this year. The letter continues: "Dealing with the accumulated debt would be done in the following two years. Only under extreme circumstances should it be stretched over two years." The NWT Chamber of Commerce also urges the Legislative Assembly to ensure that there be no accumulated debt left by 1999.
When the substance of the deficit elimination plan is analyzed, for me, it is wrong. Optimism can often hide an unhappy truth and so, for me, it is here with the deficit. I am afraid we will have a tough time wrestling the debt to the ground if we allow it to grow this year. There are several things to remember if we have to cut the budget substantially next year. It will not be as easy or as simple as what we will go through with this budget before us now. In all likelihood, we will see further downsizing of the federal transfer payments because of reduced budgets in Ontario and Quebec; perhaps in the neighbourhood of another, hypothetically, $20 million or $30 million.
A decision is imminent by the federal Supreme Court on the Fair Practices Act. This could also present a substantial liability possibility to the territorial government. Therefore, I would venture to say that our deficit for the coming year could conceivably rise from $43 million to $80 million and, therefore, our accumulated debt could reach $120 million at this time next year.
I made a commitment to my constituents during the election campaign that I would push to have the complete debt eliminated by the time we go into the new territories. Our top priority should be to restore the North's finances so that there is no debt to worry about. Then we can work on economic recovery and diversification. In order to do this, we need to consult the public and to seek the input of experts. We can do that through a taskforce; a taskforce to look at job creation, to examine measures to resuscitate the North's ailing economy and to study how to reform the North's social network. This taskforce should be coordinated by one central chair with membership from this House and membership from the public. This taskforce could also coordinate with the Premier's Advisory Panel on the Economy.
Their combined report should be placed before a three-day socio-economic summit from which we would emerge with
a clearer picture of where we are going socially and economically. This taskforce should be turned loose to examine, review and make recommendations in a variety of directions. We need to review the economy -- to consult the private sector -- find out what these people see as priorities and opportunities; what they see as their obstacles to growth. We need to review the proliferation of the territories' boards and agencies and how they could be streamlined, merged with other groups with the ultimate goal to save dollars.
The taskforce could talk to the front-line program deliverers of this government. It is my understanding that many of the front-line workers have not been consulted about where possible cuts can be made to streamline government operations.
The real rise in the cost of operating this government is in the social envelope area. The social envelope departments of Health and Social Services, Education, Culture and Employment, Justice and the NWT Housing Corporation account for 60 per cent of this government's spending. We should study these cash guzzling departments. After all, the government's role should be to get people out of the safety nets that we have, so they can integrate themselves into the emerging economy of the North. Taking this first step into this economic self-sufficiency is the hardest. We need the government to take the crutches away and help people get jobs and economic opportunities.
The government's role is multi-fold. It is to improve the health and lifestyle of its people. This task is monumental. In order to bring about large-scale, social, economic reform, we must create jobs for people. We must, in turn, improve the revenues of this government so, in turn, this would help people get out of the safety nets.
In order to create jobs quickly in the territories, we need mega projects. There are many great economic opportunities possible in our territory. What is that emerging economy? It is mining. Let me give you an example. BHP is proposing to establish a mine which will employ 600 people to start with and, when fully operational, employment will be up to 850 people.
Just south of the BHP project is the Dia Met project where Kennecott Canada and Aber Resources are developing a similar size project. That means employment potential of approximately 1,600 to 2,000 people. There will be an equal number of spin-off jobs; potentially 4,000 jobs for two mines.
Also, we have tremendous oil and gas potential in the southern parts of the Mackenzie Valley and on the Arctic islands. Forestry is another resource we can take advantage of. I was pleased to see in Mr. Todd's statement, emphasis in his Budget Address that the NWT is open for business. However, I do feel that previously this was not the message the mining industry was getting. I support the mining industry with the proviso that they provide jobs and business opportunities to the maximum extent for northerners, no matter how challenging that might be.
The northern accord is the only means by which we can replace the revenue dollars we are losing from the federal government. I fear, however, that the federal government has already tasted the $100 million plus in royalties it can collect from the diamond mines. I doubt very much that the federal government would be willing and easy to give up its royalty shares. However, I am supportive of the efforts to negotiate this situation out and it is ultimately very important that we get the aboriginal groups onside in this endeavour.
We must continue to aggressively pursue a beneficial resolution to the northern accord negotiations. We have a decade of opportunity before us. Let's take advantage of it.
---Applause